Saturday, October 31, 2009


U.S. and Israel prepare for military action against Iran

October 31, 1:28 AM
Chicago Geopolitics Examiner Michael Hughes

Herwig Prammer / Reuters Once again, Iran made a mockery of nuclear containment negotiations, rejecting a proposal from the International Atomic Energy Agency (I.A.E.A.) on Wednesday that was brokered by the United Nations. Iran first stalled for a week, then publicly declared they would cooperate, only to reverse course.

Yet, change might be in the air because, according to STRATFOR global intelligence (STRATFOR report below) to war preparations. These actions include the Administration trying to get authorization to tap the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) which is something that would only happen during a time of war; U.S. and Israel conducing large scale military and ballistic missile exercises; and direct personal messages being delivered from senior U.S. and Israeli officials to Moscow that the military option is on the table as a path to halting Iran’s nuclear program. However, the mystery remains as to whether or not these movements are legitimate threats or simple posturing.

A Diplomatic Tumult

October 29, 2009

IRANIAN OFFICIALS SAID THEY WILL SUBMIT A COUNTERPROPOSAL to the P-5+1 plan on Iran's nuclear enrichment program on Thursday. Tehran clearly hopes that the counterproposal and ensuing negotiations will buy it time, but a number of forces appear to be shifting on the global stage that might change Iran's calculus.

For one thing, U.S. National Security Adviser Gen. James Jones was in Moscow on Wednesday, and the future of Iran was one of the items up for discussion. Jones came to Moscow with a clear message: As far as the United States is concerned, all options are on the table with regard to Iran. So far, Moscow has not considered U.S. threats of military action against Iran and its nuclear program as legitimate (and has quietly laughed at the idea of sanctions). But the arrival of such a power player with this message could change Russia's calculations.

"It appears that all options -- including military action -- may truly be under consideration by the United States."

Meanwhile, in the Mediterranean, the United States and Israel are conducting their largest and most complex bilateral ballistic missile defense exercises -- exercises that were uncharacteristically delayed by a week before they started.

US and Israel reiterate to Moscow: Military option is on the table

DEBKAfile Special Report

October 31, 2009, 6:10 PM (GMT+02:00)

US Strategic Petroleum Reserve site in Texas

DEBKAfile's US intelligence sources report indications of impending war preparations against Iran after Tehran's rejections of the UN-brokered proposal to ship its enriched uranium overseas for further enrichment. These sources reveal that the administration is seeking congressional authorization to open America's Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). Furthermore, the US-Israeli joint US-Israel Juniper Cobra ballistic exercise is in full swing. Finally, US and Israel officials have been instructed to warn Moscow that the military option is still on the table if Iran's nuclear program is not halted by diplomatic means.

There's alot of activity going on. Some usual, I'm sure but other seems to be new.

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